7Line Bingo


Heading down to spring training, anticipating seeing quite a few 7Line shirts down there. Figure I will keep myself occupied and play 7Line Bingo. Each time I see a shirt I will mark it off. I wonder how quickly I will shout BINGO

7Line Bingo

7Line Bingo

 

PDF Version: 7Line Bingo

 

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I would not target catcher in trade for Dickey or Niese


Even though the Mets have significant need for a catcher, I don’t trust the longevity of the position to give up such desirable chips as Dickey or Niese. Mets should hold out for a difference maker such as Meyers from the Royals or someone similar.

Yes, a productive catcher can be a real difference maker, but it seems like catchers are like relief pitchers – except for a few good catchers don’t stay good for too long. In recent memory, I think of Russel Martin and Giovanni Soto; 2 or 3 years in they looked like game changing studs. But they quickly dropped off to the point they were either released or non-tendered.

JP Arencibia may be a plus catcher, but I think that there is just too much of a risk to be a cornerstone for a trade that would include Dickey or Niese. I would target JP using other prospects like Wilmer Flores, or even any of the pitching prospects (except Wheeler). I can see JP pulling a Martin or Soto and in 2 years we’d look back and hate the trade.

As a long suffering Met fan, if Mets give up a productive fan favorite like Dickey or someone with the upside of Niese, I just need it to be less of a gamble… but even that I’m afraid we’d get screwed…

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New Video – Daft Punk Mets… work it, harder…


Lets go Mets. I think the Mets will have an exciting 2012. The worst and the past is behind us, opportunity is infront of us…

 

Inspired from the youtube sensation:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2cYWfq–Nw&context=C4b99092ADvjVQa1PpcFMN…

and

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFZ-UBtbVs4&context=C4e13301ADvjVQa1PpcFMN…

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Judge Rakoff has made legal blunder in his ruling


I’ve seen reports that Picard’s firm has been paid over $400 million so far – he gets paid by the hour, not a percentage of what’s recovered. It is in his best interest to drag it out as long as he can. I think it is crazy that the courts are basically enabling Picard’s golden goose.

I have to think this ruling is a built-in appeal. Yes, the requirement for “proof of good will” exists in bankruptcy court, but they are not in bankruptcy court – you can’t pick from column A and column B.

Think of a wrongful death civil suit vs. a criminal murder trial; in civil court it is the “preponderance of evidence”, in criminal court it is “beyond a reasonable doubt”. A judge in criminal court can not decide that he is will use the “preponderance of evidence” criteria.

Also, the goal of the bankruptcy is to collect outstanding debt – not make a profit. Picard has lawsuits that are greater than the amount lost.

[Not a legal expert but] I believe the judge has made a huge legal blunder. I believe even with this criteria the Wilpons will win, but I believe it is a guaranteed appeal if they loose.

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Link (Daily News): NY Mets say even Irving Picard could not find fault in Bernie Madoff case


Great news article in the Daily News

By Michael O’keeffe AND Teri Thompson / NEW YORK DAILY NEWS

After U.S. District Court Judge Jed Rakoff dismissed most of the counts in Irving Picard’s $1 billion lawsuit against the owners of the Mets in September, the trustee in the Bernie Madoffliquidation case embarked on an aggressive campaign to dig up dirt….
But according the Mets’ filing, Picard did not find any evidence that Mets owners Fred Wilpon and Saul Katzknew Madoff was running a massive Ponzi scheme, or that Wilpon and Katz had willfully turned a blind eye to Madoff’s scam. Instead, the filing says, Picard’s investigation confirmed that Wilpon and Katz did not know about Madoff’s scheme until it was too late.

by Michael O’keeffe AND Teri Thompson / NEW YORK DAILY NEWS

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If A-Rod can be replaced, Tejeda can replace Jose


I am very optimistic about Tejada. He’s no Reyes and he’s no Ordonez, but I really don’t want him (nor does the team need him) to be either. I am going way back and saying the short stop he is most like in Met history is Bud Harrelson; a plus fielder, and successful in the ‘high-leverage’ hitting situations.

Keep in mind as well as he hit and fielded last year, he was split time between short (when Jose was hurt yet again), second, and the bench (when Mets were committed to testing Murphy at 2nd). Knowing he is the short stop should stabilize his game. I am not convinced that the pressure will get to him; I think there was more pressure on him last year as his play would be a primary component in the commitment level the Mets showed Jose. Being a completely different player batting lower in the order will be enough of a separation as to not pressure him to BE Jose.

Alex Rodriguez is one of the best players of our generation. I can’t stand the guy, but you’d have to think he’s nearly impossible to replace. Lets take a look at the 2 teams that had to replace him:

1) After the 2000 season where the Mariners won 91 games, A-Roid left Seattle for Texas where he made $22million in 2001. Seattle Mariners replaced A-Roid with Carlos Guillen (salary $285k) and won 116 games. That +25 games and a savings of $21,715,000. Texas went from 71 wins in 2000 to 73 wins in 2001; that $11,000,000 per win.

2) After the 2003 season where the Rangers won 71 games, A-Roid was traded to the Yankees where he made $22million in 2004. The Rangers replaced A-Roid with Michael Young (salary $450k) and won 89 games. That +18 games and a savings of $21,550,000. Yankees won 101 in 2003 with Robin Ventura ($5 million) and won 101 games in 2004. That’s zero added wins for $17,000,000

I am not saying that the recipe for success is to get rid of a star, but if a guy like Alex Rodriguez can get replaced twice and the team that got rid of him has a has an average uptick of 21.5 wins (25 and 18), it’s not the end of the world. Young had some talent, but he was not A-Roid, Guillen was not better than what Tejada is now.

I guess for some it is fun to panic and whine, but the reality wins and losses are based on performance – not pedigree.

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Metsmerized Online Link : Ruben Tejada: Rey Ordonez or Something Even Better?


GREAT post!

No matter how old some of the readers here are – young or old will surely remember the “Gloved One”, Rey Ordonez. Known for his defensive wizardy at shortstop, Rey-Rey debuted with the Mets in 1996 and was the Mets’ starting shortstop for the next seven seasons. He was a key component to what Sports Illustrated tabbed “The Best Infield Ever”.

The great Ozzie Smith once said of Ordonez after watching him throw out a runner at home from his knees, “I can definitely say he is the second-coming of me.” (Isn’t Wiki wonderful?)

Oodonez went on to win three consecutive Gold Glove Awards with the Mets and even set set a Major League record for shortstops by playing in 101 consecutive games without committing a fielding error…. more

Go to MetsMerized Online to read full post

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Link (MetsMerized Online): I Don’t See Murphy As Part Of The Future Plan


Great post by MetsMerized Online:

I’m a big Daniel Murphy fan. I love his determination, I’m impressed by his plate approach, I believe in his value as an offensive player, and his enthusiasm is totally awesome. That said, I just don’t see him as part of the master plan. I’ve heard and read all the quotes about him being the everyday second baseman next season, but I’m not at all thrilled at the prospect of that.

There seemed to be some interest in Murphy during the Winter Meetings in Dallas, and to be honest I was excited at the prospect of shipping him to a team where he would be allowed to play at his natural third base position or even makes his bones as a designated hitter in the AL…. more

To see full post go to MetsMerized Online post

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Can teams win the World Series without high priced superstar short stops?


As with a lot of Met fans, I am disappointed that Jose is no longer a Met. However, I feel the Mets did the right thing by not matching the Marlins offer;

  • I just think there is too much risk to signing a guy who has a history of being injured to a 6 year contract.
  • While he is a dynamic player with great stats, I am not convinced that his impact to wins and losses can’t be made up more cost effectively. Alex Rodriguez is one the best players of his generation, but each time he changed teams, his old team had better years the first year without him than last year with him (Seattle improve 25 games in 2001 after he left, Texas improved 18 games in 2004 )
  • Do I want the Mets to be paying Jose $20m when he’s 33, 34 and we have a crop of young players (Davis, Wheeler, Harvey, Duda, etc) are due raises or we want to buy out their arbitration years. The last 2 years of Beltran’s contract, Mets and their fans couldn’t wait for the contract to run out; the Reyes contract would like be similar or worse on the back end

So beyond the passionate response of me missing Jose, I wanted to understand how important a premiere Short Stop was to a championship team. So I took a look the starting short stop for the last 11 World Series winners. I was surprised, the only premiere short stops where Derek Jeter and Edgar Renteria; Rafael Furcal was close at one point in his career, Eckstein was servicable, but Lugo, Uribe, Cabrera and Womak are hardly the players you dream of when you are putting together the blueprint of a championship team.

In fact, if you take out Jeter, the average salary of the starting short stop for the World Series Champions was under $4.5 million.

OK, just because teams have won with a non-premiere short stop, that certainly doesn’t mean that if you have a premiere short stop, if you get rid of them you increase your chances; but it does give some comfort that not having a premiere short stop isn’t the end of the world.

In the end, I am sad to see Jose leave the team but I am glad that Sandy and company is sticking to the plan, not mortgaging the future, and we’ll have a nice core of young players to root for. Jose was the future at one point (just like Hubie Brooks, Greg Jeffries, Mike Vail, Daryl Strawberry, etc.), but now there is a new core of players that we will one day be sad when they leave.

Year WS Winner Short Stop Salary
2011 Cardinals Rafael Furcal*  $          7,800,000
2010 Giants Edgar Renteria  $          9,000,000
2009 Yankees Derek Jeter  $        20,000,000
2008 Phillies Jimmy Rollins  $          7,000,000
2007 Red Sox Julio Lugo  $          8,000,000
2006 Cardinals David Eckstein  $          3,250,000
2005 White Sox Juan Uribe  $          2,150,000
2004 Red Sox Orlando Cabrera  $          1,500,000
2003 Marlins Alex Gonzalez  $          1,700,000
2002 Angels David Eckstein  $              280,000
2001 Diamondbacks Tony Womack  $          4,000,000
Average (All)  $          5,880,000
Average (Excluding Jeter)  $          4,468,000
* Annualized amount paid by Cards

 

Keep in mind Jose dialed it down a bit (no triples since July) this year to try and stay healthy (so as to not impact is impending free agency); I wonder if he isn’t dialing it down, how likely is it will he get hurt?

 

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Will K Rod accept arbitration? And why hasn’t Boston pursued any relievers


Brewers made somewhat of a risky move when they offered K Rod arbitration; he made $11.5 million dollars and even though he was a set up man, he pitched will and is likely to get a raise to somewhere between $13 million and $14 million.

By rule, he has to make at least 80% of what he made last year; that would be $9.2 million. I do not see Brewers risking actually offering him a lower salary because the way it works is the player and the team both submit a salary offer for a new contract; the arbitrator chooses one number or the other – he/she can not pick a number in the middle. If Brewers offer too low of a number, the arbitrator will certainly pick K Rods number.

I do not know what the arbitrator guidelines are, but I do not think that he/she will take into consideration that K Rod is no longer closing; I am fairly certain that the arbitrator will simply evaluate him as a reliever – a premiere at that.

K Rod had a 1.86 ERA fro the Brew Crew (2.64 overall) and a 1.80 ERA in the post season. Given his track record he has to be considered an elite pitcher. If a almost over the hill Joe Nathan got $7 million (for 2 years), not as elite Papelbon got $12.5 million (for 3 years), and the immortal Mariano Rivera makes $15 million (for 3 years), the single season saves leader coming off a good year will certainly get $13 million for one year.

So if you are K Rod, how comfortable are you that you will get a contract that tops $13 million?

My guess is that K Rod calls the Brewers’ bluff (not really a bluff, but an attempt to get extra draft picks) and accepts arbitration. This will leave the Brew Crew in a bind forcing them to make a trade; to say… Boston?. This is where Boras will work his magic and work in an extension.

Players have until 11:59 pm ET on December 7th to accept arbitration.

This may be why Boston has not been linked to any rumors regarding any closers; after losing Papelbon – isn’t that odd? Yes they just hired a manager, but ordinarily that does not preclude player transactions for critical roles as a closer.

Boston may be thinking, “if I sign K Rod now, I have to negotiate and loose draft picks, but if he accepts arbitration, I can keep my draft picks, give up a non-prospect of my choice and let an arbitrator set the price so I don’t have to tangle w/ Boras.”

 

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